XDSConcealer wrote:I don't share your optimism that Romney will pull this one out. I think he'll get the popular vote but will come up short in the Electoral Votes. I just don't see how he can get to 270. If Obama has 201 Electoral Votes secured and Romney has 206. Here are the toss ups:
Colorado - 9
Virginia - 13
Nevada - 6
New Hampshire - 4
Florida - 29
Iowa - 6
Michigan - 16
Ohio - 18
Pennsylvania - 20
Wisconsin - 10
I think Romney will secure Colorado, Virgina and Florida and that gets him to 257. I think we can all agree that Obama will get Nevada, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania which will get him 259. New Hampshire will not help either one get to 270 so it really all comes down to Ohio. Neither can win without Ohio and considering that Obama carried it in 2008 I think Romney has his work cut out for him. Given the demographics there and my belief that the left will cheat in every way they can, I believe Ohio will go to Obama and we are screwed.
I invite others to discuss and tell me where I'm wrong because I really can't afford another 4 years of this lunatic!
RealClearPolitics.com has Romney up in electoral votes 206 to Obooby's 201.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html
They list the following tossups:
Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
Iowa (6)
Michigan (16)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
Ohio (18)
Pennsylvania (20)
Virginia (13)
Wisconsin (10)
I just don't think in the end that Obusted is going to win. We're two weeks away from the election. In this last debate, Chris Wallace made an interesting comment....he said that if he were an alien who just dropped in and didn't know in advance which of the two actually IS the president, he would have guessed that it was Romney, just from the way the two men carried themselves during the debate. I was at a church event all evening, and so I had to watch the event from my DVR, after the fact....but also after I had heard Wallace's comment on the radio. So when I watched it, I kept that comment in mind, and I have to say that it was spot on. And Gallup has JUST NOW reported that Romney still has a 5 point advantage post-debate.
In all of American history, NO INCUMBENT HAS EVER WON REELECTION WHEN HE WAS 5% DOWN ON THE CHALLENGER TWO WEEKS BEFORE THE ELECTION. Not once.
When people go to the polls, a LOT of lukewarm Obama supporters are going to do a gut-check, and come to the conclusion that another 4 years of the same is unacceptable; and that 5% Romney advantage is going to turn into an 8%-10% advantage right there in the precinct polling place, and the election is going to be a significant win for Romney.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”
― G. Michael Hopf, "Those Who Remain"
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