Relevant only regarding the logic versus emotion worldviews, but an interesting piece from the NRA-ILA yesterday, "
Tracing Spurious Claims." In part:
Since leading anti-gun researchers acknowledged no connection between the 2020 surge in firearms sales and violence, unscrupulous anti-gun advocates must cite underwhelming statistics as meaningful evidence.
That’s what The Trace did, in an article written in collaboration with FiveThirtyEight.... Bloomberg’s activist-journalists looked at ATF reports showing the number of firearms traced broken out by the time between retail sale and tracing. They report that the number of firearms traced within a year of retail sale increased significantly from 2019 to 2020.... So, the number of firearms traced within a year increased in a year in which the number of all guns sold increased. That seems proportional. The Trace covers this point, too: the ratio of guns traced within seven months of retail sale to all gun sales has increased annually since 2013. That sounds much more dramatic than the proportion increased from about 0.11% to 0.3% from 2013 through 2020. That is eleven-one-hundredths of a percent to three-tenths of a percent. Naturally, that means that 99.7% of firearms are not traced within seven months of their acquisition.
That pretty much sums up the screams about a gun violence epidemic in the United States. By the National Vital Statistics System Mortality Data--and using 2018 data to take COVID out of the equation--firearm homicides accounted for 10,484 deaths, or 3.1 per 100,000 population. The total number of deaths was 2,839,205; firearm homicides accounted for 0.37%. The odds of your dying by an accidental cause that was not a firearm--falling off a ladder or being in a car crash for instance--were 1,594.1%
greater than dying by firearm homicide.
For 2020 COVID (provisionally) comes in at 3rd place as a leading cause of death, and we had 3,358,814 total deaths last year. You know all the shouts and moans and hair-pulling from Giffords and other anti-gun organizations about the massive increase in gun deaths in 2020? Thing is, the numbers they use are still provisionary and unreliable, per the CDC,
and they include everything from homicides to suicides to accidental shootings to Alec Baldwin (I couldn't resist).
Here are the data from Statista:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/249 ... ed-states/. The raw numbers are definitely up: 13,620 homicides by firearm. But the number of
total deaths was also up. Compared to 2018's 0.37% deaths by firearm homicide, where were we in the "gun violence epidemic" in 2020 when records were being regularly shattered for NICS checks? A whopping 0.41%. A staggering increase of 0.04%. That's four one-hundredths of a percent, or a decimal value of 0.0004. Based on a
current population estimate of 333.85 million, that means the firearm homicide rate has actually
decreased; it would now be 2.5 per 100,000 rather than 2018's 3.1.
I know. Completely wrong topic. But I got on a roll...