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DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 11:34 am
by joe817
FINALLY!!! The reports have been published! But only for the calendar year ending 12/31/2009. I couldn't find the one for the fiscal year ending 08/31/09.

Bottom line: 404,795 CHL licenses & instructor licenses in the State of Texas at the end of December, 2009.

This compares to 316,085 active CHL licenses & instructors licenses in the State at the end of December, 2008.

This really surprises me. The growth is rather anemic to what I was expecting, noting the long delays of having licenses issued last year.

Anyway, as disappointing as the numbers are, here's the link:

http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/administra ... tscy09.htm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

(edited to add the words "& instructor licenses" in the Dec.2009 numbers) The 404,795 includes instructor licenses. Sorry for omitting that earlier. :oops:

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 12:09 pm
by joe817
A little further digging brings out some more facts:

138,768 new licenses were issued. The largest concentrations of new licensees issued are in the following counties(followed by percent of total new licenses issued statewide):

Bexar - 5.05%
Brazoria - 2.19%
Collin - 2.93%
Dallas - 5.89%
Denton - 2.70%
El Paso - 1.30%
Fort Bend - 2.69%
Galveston - 2.18%
Harris - 17.27%
Jefferson - 1.20%
Lubbock - 1.18%
Mc Lennan 1.19%
Montgomery - 3.28%
Nueces - 1.33%
Tarrant - 7.44%
Travis - 2.24%
Williamson - 1.48%

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 12:27 pm
by Ol Zeke
Yeah, I was looking at that, yesterday. Doesn't seem like as many as I had thought.?

There were 1,600 + new Instructor cetificates issued. I wonder if, since most classes are held on weekends, that has anything to do with the numbers? Are the classes all booked up?

I did find it interesting that Tarrant County is second, only to Harris, in the number of licenses issued.

:txflag:

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 12:28 pm
by joe817
Ol Zeke wrote: I did find it interesting that Tarrant County is second, only to Harris, in the number of licenses issued.

:txflag:
Me as well Zeke. :txflag:

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 1:40 pm
by KFP
I'd say a 33% increase in CHLs is a big move in the right direction. That seems to coincide with the 10,000-12,000 licenses that DPS was reportedly averaging each month.

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 2:39 pm
by Ol Zeke
KFP wrote:I'd say a 33% increase in CHLs is a big move in the right direction. That seems to coincide with the 10,000-12,000 licenses that DPS was reportedly averaging each month.
That is true.

There you go, gettin' all logical on us. :tiphat:

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 2:45 pm
by Drewthetexan
joe817 wrote:A little further digging brings out some more facts:

138,768 new licenses were issued. The largest concentrations of new licensees issued are in the following counties(followed by percent of total new licenses issued statewide):
If 138,768 new licenses were issued, that seems to mean 50,000 were not renewed.

316,085 to 404,795 is only 88,710 increase.

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 2:59 pm
by tornado
So let's run some numbers ...
  • 24,782,302 -- Texas population estimate, 2009
    27.6% -- Persons under 18 years old, percent, 2008
    (source: US Census Bureau)
That means about 17,942,386 over 18. 17,942,386 adults divided by 404,795 CHL holders means...

About 1 in 44 adult Texans has a CHL. :txflag:

(It's actually a little higher, of course, since you have to be 21 to get a CHL.)

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 3:33 pm
by Skiprr
joe817 wrote:138,768 new licenses were issued.
That isn't anemic at all! In fact, I'm duly impressed. Not counting instructors, here are total numbers of licenses issued in recent fiscal years:

2008: 73,090
2007: 90,867
2006: 67,843

For 2002 through 2005, I have only a summary, end-of-year license count, not number issued, but you can get an idea of the (essentially flat) trend:

2005: 248,874
2004: 239,940
2003: 239,863
2002: 224,172

So I'd say last year was a big boost to our numbers, I assume the biggest single-year boost this decade.

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 3:49 pm
by 5thGenTexan
Interesting the disparity of numbers between Dallas & Tarrant counties. I wonder is it a liberal/conservative thing or is it that there are just that many more people in Dallas that know there is no way they would qualify for a license.

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 4:51 pm
by Dragonfighter
I would be interested to know if the MPA impacted the numbers.

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 4:59 pm
by The Annoyed Man
joe817 wrote:
Ol Zeke wrote: I did find it interesting that Tarrant County is second, only to Harris, in the number of licenses issued.

:txflag:
Me as well Zeke. :txflag:
I'm actually no surprised about that one. Tarrant County is a pretty conservative area overall. The one that surprises me is that Harris County is 17.27% of the total. Given the stuff you hear about Houston PD and past Houston Mayor viz-a-viz CHL, one wonders why there is such a large spike in numbers in that one county.

Maybe some of you Harris County folks could weigh in with a theory?

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:06 pm
by CrimsonSoul
I'm a statistic! (Brazoria)

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:23 pm
by WildBill
tornado wrote:So let's run some numbers ...
  • 24,782,302 -- Texas population estimate, 2009
    27.6% -- Persons under 18 years old, percent, 2008
    (source: US Census Bureau)
That means about 17,942,386 over 18. 17,942,386 adults divided by 404,795 CHL holders means...

About 1 in 44 adult Texans has a CHL. :txflag:
That's a pretty scary thought ... if you're a BG! :mrgreen:

Re: DPS Demographic Reports for Calendar Year 2009

Posted: Thu Apr 22, 2010 5:24 pm
by WildBill
CrimsonSoul wrote:I'm a statistic! (Brazoria)
I'm jealous. I always wanted to be one of those. :lol: