chasfm11 wrote:
Thanks for the link. I guess that I was putting my post into the context of the original story. The BGs came to visit her and it wasn't like she saw them coming. The same for the death threats. It is no longer much of a matter of avoidance unless their escape from their house worked. Even then, how long could she and her family stay away from the house? Weeks? Months? Would it ever be over? Maybe the only choice after a shooting like that and the following death threats is to sell the place.
I understand, and I apologize for taking that part of the discussion in a different direction. Understanding mind set is really important because the sheer brutality many criminals are capable of is completely outside of what many folks have ever encountered, and it is shocking enough to be mentally paralyzing to a degree. You can't afford to have that happen during an incident. However, there isn't always an opportunity to pick up on a developing situation because sometimes it develops out of sight of the defender.
In the case of what's sometimes called a "blitz" attack (an explosive close up attack that comes as a total surprise) the best that can be done is to have a well thought out plan and defensive tools always at the ready, and execute that plan with speed and total commitment on "autopilot" with hardly any conscious thought. The bad news is that even that is not always enough, even for the well prepared. Surprise is an enormous tactical advantage.
The window of opportunity to manage that type of situation successfully is usually in the range of a very few seconds, if that. An unprepared person will waste nearly all of it overcoming the urge to deny it's really happening. The shock that what they thought couldn't happen really is happening to them, and the fact that there's so much that needs to be done at the same time and there are so many conflicting choices, create a situation where they can't bring themselves to actually do anything. This mental and physical "lockup" is due to a combination of OODA loop overload and the neuropsychological effects of being in a life threatening situation. The attacker simply forges ahead with his plan (which usually doesn't have any pleasant parts for the defender), and he wins. That's the way he envisioned it would go when he first decided to act, and unless something unusual happens, that's the way these things end, more often than not.
The attacker comes in all wound up and ready for battle. The defender has a major challenge to overcome to reach the same stage of arousal and take effective action in time. If he's practiced at what some experienced fighters speak of as "flipping the switch" he's got a chance. His chances greatly improve if he can momentarily postpone the confrontation by moving to an area where he can't be immediately overrun so he has a few more seconds to spin up his battle plan and get to his tools. If not, it's a better than even bet that he'll be overwhelmed before he can take effective action.
Unlike in the movies, the good guys don't always win.