chasfm11 wrote:VMI77 wrote:
I'm not saying the situation isn't going to return to normal, maybe it will; but I'm not sure it will this time. We don't have enough information yet to understand what's happening. For instance, I don't remember 22 LR being almost completely unavailable last time around. People have speculated various reasons for it, but I've seen no evidence to substantiate any of the speculation. Also, it appears the left is deliberately attempting to further inflame gun owners rather than give us any reason to calm down. The attack on gun owners has been unrelenting since Sandy Hook and completely without balance in the MSM. It sure looks like the left is going for broke, and while they may ultimately fail, it may take quite awhile to return to any kind of acceptable status quo --and even then we all know the attack will begin again at the very next opportunity. We could easily be looking at four years of shortages this time.
I think that we'll know the cause shortly, within the next three months. I don't mean to seem callous but the public attention span is pretty short so if it is just panic buying by those not really "into" guns, it will be over or will slow down significantly. Assuming the supply chain is working as before, some equilibrium should be reached.
I haven't understood the sporadic shortages in some calibers for the past three years and,
fearing the worst, assumed the government was somehow tinkering behind the scenes. At one point, I heard that the Feds were not allowing military brass to be recycled, drying up materials.
I would have hoped that one of the ammo makers would have figured some way to disclose that information if it was true. At any rate, if the store shelves are still empty by April, there is no doubt in my mind that the Regime has implemented gun control via ammo control.
I too can't help but wonder what nefarious actions the Feds are taking behind the scenes (and given where many of these manufacturers are located, in league with state governments). As far as disclosing information about the Feds controlling supplies goes --I'd guess that if the Feds have the power to make a manufacturer limit supply that they also have to power to keep them quiet. One possibility might be the carrot and stick approach of threatening delicensing, other regulatory harassment, and banning sales to government while promising to pay higher future prices, buying additional quantities, and favorable regulatory treatment. Or, the government could be buying up supplies and using accounting tricks to keep the purchases off the books until later in the year.
At the risk of floating a "conspiracy" theory, it also occurs to me that if the Obama administration does have confiscation in mind one of the things they might do is to choke off ammo supplies in advance of taking any action. All those newbies buying ARs will find it hard to get ammo for practice or self-defense, and anyone that wasn't stocked up will be in the same boat. If I bought my first 22 right now I'd have a very hard time finding any ammo for it. That doesn't seem to fit in with the "embargo" scenario though, unless the notion is to make AR conversion kits useless as well, and those don't seem like that big of threat (from their standpoint) to me.
One thing is for sure, if something nefarious is going on it won't be much longer before we find out. I just hope that a lot of what we're hearing, such as the Obama litmus test, is false, because claims like that dovetail all too well with the very ugliest of possible scenarios.
