Search found 3 matches

by G26ster
Tue Sep 09, 2014 1:14 am
Forum: Gun and/or Self-Defense Related Political Issues
Topic: 'If you don't believe in climate change you must be sick'
Replies: 139
Views: 25247

Re: 'If you don't believe in climate change you must be sick

esxmarkc wrote:
You miss my point. The key word is "published." Not all research is published. But, I agree that "Very little good science is ever done attempting to prove a pre-conceived outcome." You're right, it's not good science.
I hit your point on the money. I was talking about published, peer-reviewed research. I never indicated differently.
So you obviously believe that all those that are currently convinced in man made global warming are continuing their research with open minds and are open to being proven wrong.
Why you are attempting to put words in my mouth or assume to know what I believe so incorrectly has me puzzled. I'll say it once more: I read most of it all. I filter it as best as I possibly can for it's bias. I form my own opinions and that's simply it.
The oil industry is not on the ballot, and cannot vote into power those that will make them richer at the expense of us all.
Can you really say that with a straight face? :cool:
They are also not the scientists that are enhancing their resumes with their published papers.
And Scientists can get their resume' s enhanced regardless of their position as long as they publish.
As far as oil companies being "bloated," compare their profit margin with that of other businesses. They come in at less than 10% profit margin. When you are selling megabucks worth of product throughout the world, you profit is megabucks. They spend "cubic money" which nets cubic money., but the percentage of profit is still much lower than many other businesses.
I'm not sure what you are trying to convince me on here. That their combined lobbying and financial influential power is of no concern here? They have the biggest dog in the fight and the most to loose.

In 2011, the five biggest oil companies earned a combined profit of $375 million per day, or a record $137 billion profit for the year despite a reduction in their oil production.
The entire oil and gas industry spent on average $400,000 each day lobbying senators and representatives to weaken public health safeguards and keep big oil tax breaks.

As for 2012, you should read this. Honestly. Please read it - especially on how their spending on lobbying paid off.
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/ ... -the-gold/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

but just in case you don't decide to click on it:
The oil and gas industry has been the largest beneficiary of the anti-environment votes in the House. Since the beginning of 2011, the House has voted 109 times for policies that enrich the oil and gas industry, including 45 votes to weaken environmental, public health, and safety requirements applicable to oil companies; [and] 38 votes to block or slow deployment of clean energy alternatives.

As for "peer reviewed" articles published, there are many types of peer reviews. But, to sum it up, I took note of this on the Wikipedia page you linked:

"Richard Horton, editor of the British medical journal The Lancet, said:

The mistake, of course, is to have thought that peer review was any more than just a crude means of discovering the acceptability—not the validity—of a new finding. Editors and scientists alike insist on the pivotal importance of peer review. We portray peer review to the public as a quasi-sacred process that helps to make science our most objective truth teller. But we know that the system of peer review is biased, unjust, unaccountable, incomplete, easily fixed, often insulting, usually ignorant, occasionally foolish, and frequently wrong."
That is the beauty of peer-reviews: even the WIki is easily reviewed by you and I so before you go quoting Richard Horton you may want to do a little research on that quack
https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=c ... r%20review" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
So I'll leave this discussion with this. 97% of like minded people will always agree, regardless of the subject, as long as they all subscribe to the same thinking and beliefs. As I said before, I don't know what the truth is on man made global warming, but I am convinced the "published" science is skewed to favor the conclusion that it is. Once again, MHO.
I won't even DARE asking you where you got that figure from. :lol:
Try reading this on oil companies PERCENT of NET profit. You cite the politically left think tank, and strong supporters of green energy. I don't exactly consider them an "independent" source of information. My source is sheer numbers comparison in the table that shows the major oil companies make 6.2 cents net profit out of every dollar of revenue. That places them 114 out of 125 major industries.

http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2011/05/oil ... t-215.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

You make a personal opinion that Dr. Horton is a quack. While there seems to have been some controversy, his credentials and awards seem quite impressive.

As for publishing, who makes the decision whether a study is published or not? I don't believe it's the author that is the deciding factor. Peer reviews may be open, blind, or anonymous. What type of peer reviews are in the 97% you cited? Who funded the studies that were reviewed?

As for the 97% agreement, I'd wager that 97% of communists thought it was the best type of gov't, and that 97% of capitalists think theirs is best. It's just common sense that like minded people agree.

Bottom line, unlike much research, there are politics involved with climate change. As long as that is a factor, then facts will be distorted to suit political ends by both sides, and in my opinion, that includes which studies are "published" and which are not.
by G26ster
Mon Sep 08, 2014 10:29 pm
Forum: Gun and/or Self-Defense Related Political Issues
Topic: 'If you don't believe in climate change you must be sick'
Replies: 139
Views: 25247

Re: 'If you don't believe in climate change you must be sick

esxmarkc wrote:
To be published, you must be doing research. To do research you need grants (money). To get that grant you need to be preaching to the choir. How many climate scientists who are on the other side of the fence do you actually believe are getting research grants that lead to published papers? I don't believe many do.
So you're throwing peer review out the window? Doesn't work like that. And you don't get grants based on who you preach to. Just not how it works. Been there, seen that. You get grants based on the research you are proposing, not the outcome you intend to prove. Very little good science is ever done attempting to prove a pre-conceived outcome. And not all research requires funding. Some great research is done as part of the PHd thesis process. Some research funding comes from private industry. Some funding from investment capital pre-engagement discovery and some from government grants.
I have no doubt that man contributes to climate change in some form, but it is the extent of the impact that to me is the issue.
I wholeheartedly agree.
"Settled science" is the buzzword. Less than a decade ago physicists and astronomers were convinced that the universe would expand to a point and than begin to contract in on itself. Now the data shows that the universe will continue to expand for eternity. I don't think science should ever be "settled." Do you?
You won't have scientists using that term. And no good astrophysiscyst was "absolutely convinced" or used the term "settled science" back before the theory of dark matter and it's effect on the continued expansion of the universe was developed. And they still don't use the term "settled science" when it comes to dark matter. So I can't claim to really understand your point. There aren't any good climatologists that are using the term "settled science" in any of their peer reviewed publications that I have found.
Is the "root cause" of the climate warming the result of man - maybe. Is the root cause other than man - maybe. Are those who are championing man as the evil culprit going to profit - you betcha. Are those who believe otherwise going to profit - no way. Follow the money.
Completely disagree. But let's "follow the money": The largest ever, irreversibly bloated, cash rich corporations have EVERYTHING to loose if it is proven that the cause is anthropogenic. And they are the LARGEST contributors to the rhetoric attempting to debunk global warming. Every last energy company has a lobbiest in the game and a scientist in the pocket.

So yea..... follow the money.... and once you have sorted through and thrown out the totally biased rhetoric generated by the energy industry as well as any other gibberish created by strictly liberal snare banging what you are left with is a pretty good body of peer-reviewed research that everyone (even you) has direct access to. Feel free to peruse it and make your educated decisions. This is all I urge any good tax-paying American to do.
You miss my point. The key word is "published." Not all research is published. But, I agree that "Very little good science is ever done attempting to prove a pre-conceived outcome." You're right, it's not good science. So you obviously believe that all those that are currently convinced in man made global warming are continuing their research with open minds and are open to being proven wrong.

I never said "scientists" are using the term "settled science." I said it was a "buzzword." Those with the megaphones are using the term for the masses. The oil industry is not on the ballot, and cannot vote into power those that will make them richer at the expense of us all. Of course they have lobbyists, and so does every other interest group. They are also not the scientists that are enhancing their resumes with their published papers. As far as oil companies being "bloated," compare their profit margin with that of other businesses. They come in at less than 10% profit margin. When you are selling megabucks worth of product throughout the world, you profit is megabucks. They spend "cubic money" which nets cubic money., but the percentage of profit is still much lower than many other businesses.

As for "peer reviewed" articles published, there are many types of peer reviews. But, to sum it up, I took note of this on the Wikipedia page you linked:

"Richard Horton, editor of the British medical journal The Lancet, said:

The mistake, of course, is to have thought that peer review was any more than just a crude means of discovering the acceptability—not the validity—of a new finding. Editors and scientists alike insist on the pivotal importance of peer review. We portray peer review to the public as a quasi-sacred process that helps to make science our most objective truth teller. But we know that the system of peer review is biased, unjust, unaccountable, incomplete, easily fixed, often insulting, usually ignorant, occasionally foolish, and frequently wrong."


So I'll leave this discussion with this. 97% of like minded people will always agree, regardless of the subject, as long as they all subscribe to the same thinking and beliefs. As I said before, I don't know what the truth is on man made global warming, but I am convinced the "published" science is skewed to favor the conclusion that it is. Once again, MHO.
by G26ster
Mon Sep 08, 2014 8:36 pm
Forum: Gun and/or Self-Defense Related Political Issues
Topic: 'If you don't believe in climate change you must be sick'
Replies: 139
Views: 25247

Re: 'If you don't believe in climate change you must be sick

esxmarkc wrote: I believe you are in extreme error on this statement. You will find that 97-98% of the top Climatologists agree that this is likely a man-made issue. I get my data here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2901439/

The UE group comprises only 2% of the top 50 climate researchers as ranked by expertise (number of climate publications), 3% of researchers of the top 100, and 2.5% of the top 200, excluding researchers present in both groups (Materials and Methods). This result closely agrees with expert surveys, indicating that ≈97% of self-identified actively publishing climate scientists agree with the tenets of ACC (2). Furthermore, this finding complements direct polling of the climate researcher community, which yields qualitative and self-reported researcher expertise (2).

What you will find is that 97% of all peer-reviewed (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peer_review" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;) articles on the causes of climate change written by Climatologists agree that the root cause can be traced to the burning of fossil fuels releasing greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere. Argue that if you wish and if you come up with a great argument I suggest you contact the National Academy of Sciences and have them amend the article and explain how you believe it is not 97%.
To be published, you must be doing research. To do research you need grants (money). To get that grant you need to be preaching to the choir. How many climate scientists who are on the other side of the fence do you actually believe are getting research grants that lead to published papers? I don't believe many do.

I have no doubt that man contributes to climate change in some form, but it is the extent of the impact that to me is the issue. The dire warnings of the dominant "published" majority is no different to me than the bias of the dominant MSM to view what does not fit their agenda with disdain. It simply isn't reported. "Settled science" is the buzzword. Less than a decade ago physicists and astronomers were convinced that the universe would expand to a point and than begin to contract in on itself. Now the data shows that the universe will continue to expand for eternity. I don't think science should ever be "settled." Do you?

I believe that the climate change "debate" is a political" football, and following the money will show that there is an agenda at work. Until that agenda can be eliminated, we will probably never know the facts, and those who would gain politically or financially the most, will always have the megaphone.

Is the "root cause" of the climate warming the result of man - maybe. Is the root cause other than man - maybe. Are those who are championing man as the evil culprit going to profit - you betcha. Are those who believe otherwise going to profit - no way. Follow the money.

Just MHO, I could be wrong :tiphat:

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