This is the second time today I get to use the word unknowable.The Annoyed Man wrote:Too bad about the SCOTUS ruling. It would be interesting to know if the percentage of the total population which experiences rape as a victim of it has increased or decreased since that ruling.
SCOTUS ruled against capital punishment for rape in Coker v. Georgia in 1977.
The state of Louisiana tried legislating around the criteria of that case and prescribed capital punishment for rape of children. SCOTUS overturned that law in Kennedy v. Louisiana in 2008.
(In the latter case, the justices extended their reasoning to say that capital punishment could be used only for murder, treason, or espionage.)
The problem with predicting the effects of these rulings or other changes in the law is that attitudes toward rape and other forms of sexual molestation (all of which would be sexual assault or aggravated sexual assault under current Texas law) have changed.
In earlier decades rape and sexual abuse were considered so shameful that victims often did not report the crimes. If they told family, the family often hushed it up. If they complained to the police, it was difficult to bring a case before modern advances in forensics (such as DNA testing).
We've had something like 30 years of social encouragement to report sexual abuse and changes in laws and police techniques that make it easier to prosecute.
Still, the reported rate of forcible rape has declined along with other crimes since the early 1990s. It peaked in 1992.
- Jim