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I do not believe anyone is talking about a "spray and pray" stategy. They are just relating that they feel it is better to have more rather than less in terms of capacity during a confrontation.

The statistics I've heard for police involved shooting would tend to show that the likelyhood of a miss if pretty high. I found some data from NYPD and have an exerpt below. http://www.theppsc.org/Staff_Views/Aveni/OIS.pdf

1994-2000
Hit ratio by distance (yards)
0-2 38%
3-7 17%
8-15 9%
16-25 4%
Unk. 2%

I certainly agree that practice will improve your hit ratio on the paper target. But stress and circumstances can and will seriously detract from your shooting performance from what the stats show.

I say carry what you want, it is your choice. What is right for one may not be right for another. People have varied reasons for their selection. There is not ONE answer. I'm still learning and gathering info, but for now my choice is 13+1 of .40. So I guess that put me in the middle.