Search found 8 matches

by Excaliber
Mon Dec 20, 2010 12:03 pm
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

mgood wrote:I agree with Excaliber, as usual. :tiphat:

"A vicious and committed counterattack" even against very long odds, is better than sitting there waiting for him to start executing us.

Excaliber menionted OODA.
When the woman attacked the big guy, that gave a small window of opportunity. But I think that by the time anyone on the board went through the OODA cycle and thought "Here's our chance!" That window had already closed.
It's easy to Monday-morning-quarterback from the safety of my computer chair, but I like to think that from the moment the gun was pulled, I'd be sitting there looking for an opportunity. "If he'll just turn away, if he can be distracted for a moment . . . " is what would be going through my head. (I play "what if" games with myself constantly. If I'd been to a couple of meetings, I'd have already considered "What would I do if someone came in here and pulled a gun on us?" My plan might not be the best, but I'd HAVE A PLAN other than sitting there hoping to not get shot.) I'm 5'7" and 200, younger than the board members but not quite what I was 20-some years ago, and not near large enough to just tackle the big dude. But if I'm sitting there waiting for an opportunity, and the woman hitting him from behind gives me one, I'd try to explode out of the chair and attack the gun hand/arm. Try to knock the gun away, and failing that, hang on like I've got a tiger by the tail, trying to pin the gun long enough for some of the others to pile on (wishful thinking maybe, but when that's all you got . . . )
Now, whether I'd have really done that or just sat there and made a mess in my pants, I don't know, having never been in a situation like that.
This is the type of thinking that allows one to recognize a deadly situation for what it is right away, and to effectively exploit any opportunity to end it. There are no guarantees of success, but allowing an attack to proceed unimpeded is as close to a guarantee of failure as you can get.

An often overlooked piece of our plans is the need to take command and enlist the help of others. About 80% of people in such a situation will do nothing without leadership direction. Airline cabin crews are trained to shout clear, short orders at people to shake them up and get them moving instead of just sitting in their seats during an emergency.

If no one else is acting, you become the designated leader. Sharp commands like "Grab his legs!" "Push him over!" "Sit on his shoulders!" can galvanize them out of their locked OODA loops and enable them to do what's needed to help. We may need to initiate action alone, but we don't have to do everything without help. This consideration should be part of every sheepdog's repertoire of plans.
by Excaliber
Mon Dec 20, 2010 10:30 am
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

tfrazier wrote:For those who feel the men in the room were cowards when they didn't "take advantage" of the opportunity the gal with the purse gave them, consider how big the bad guy was and the way he simply brushed her off like a fly.

Having had to wrestle men that size to the ground before (with the help of a half-dozen or so fellow LEOs), I can tell you that even had all six of the men in the room piled on immediately there still was a good chance the nut-case would have retained his gun and likely injured or killed one or more of them. It would have been like six ticks on a water buffalo.

At the end the big guy didn't go down until several rounds had been pumped into him and even then he managed to spray the place with numerous shots.

I think those guys were wise to stay in their seats under the circumstances. Had they jumped him when the little lady attacked they may well have gotten her killed as well as themselves. The bad guy was obviously pumped on adrenaline if nothing else.
I have a respectful difference of opinion here.

The gunman had already announced that he was going to die today. The fact that he was pointing a gun at the Board members instead of shooting himself at home was a pretty good indication he didn't plan to go alone. At that point, counterattack is the best survival option, and the biggest decision is selecting the best opportunity. The lady with the purse created the opportunity, but the other board members, who were clearly talkers and not doers, let that window of opportunity pass. Even when they saw their colleague was clearly in danger of being shot, and the gunman's attention was fully concentrated on her, they stayed in their seats like kids at an action flick. I think ignorance of the dynamics of violence was more in play than lack of courage, although it can sometimes be difficult to separate the two. In any case, these folks are very lucky to still be alive.

As Tfrazier points out, bringing a big guy down is hard without training - and it's not much easier with training. Attacking the legs first, especially the knee joint, to disrupt balance is generally more effective than attacking the torso, but untrained folks wouldn't know that. Officers making an arrest would refrain from doing that because of the severe injury that often results and other options, like control through multiple officers, are available. As KD5NRH points out, a defender in a life threatening situation doesn't have the same options or restraints.

The priority in this situation was to immobilize and remove the gun, and the lady had effectively done the immobilization part for a couple of seconds. The opportunity for the others to step in and carry the counterattack momentum was wide open but fleeting - lasting only a few seconds. A little help applied to the gun hand could have removed the threat or turned it on the offender. When the gunman regained control and shifted his focus back to the board, that window of opportunity was past and he kept his distance much better with the podium between himself and the board members, making a similar attack much more difficult.

Studies of active shooter situations show that far more such events are ended by unarmed civilians at the scene than are stopped by responding police - largely because in the time frame of 8 minutes or less from first shot to last, it is almost impossible for officers not at the scene to be notified, travel to the site, locate the offender, and act effectively.

It is not an accident that major active shooter incidents almost always occur in suburban or rural environments, where people who are not routinely exposed to violence have drunk the kool aid that one should remain passive under threat of violence and the nice insane killer who came with the intent to murder them won't hurt them because they're such nice, gentle folks and aren't any threat to him. The school board members in the Panama City case typify how such people behave. When the superintendent sees the gun pointed directly at him and senses the gunman's decision to fire, instead of moving he sits stock still and says, "Please don't." Only the gunman's poor gun handling and marksmanship skills saved his life. These types of folks make highly cooperative victims who ensure the success of violence directed against them.

It is also not an accident that active shooter events are extremely rare in major cities with populations over 2 million (NYC, Chicago, LA, etc.). Many of the folks in these places are no strangers to violence, and they understand instinctively that a vicious and committed counterattack is the only viable option when someone is actively trying to kill them. These folks respond to such situations with explosive violence, and many carry weapons that they know how to use, regardless of legal prohibitions against that practice. They also are quick to recognize and use improvised weapons effectively. These people can be counted on not only to not be cooperative victims, but to be major credible threats to the attacker himself. Not everyone in these places fits this profile by any means, but there are enough that they serve as an effective deterrent to this type of activity because success is far from assured, and assured success is what active shooters plan for.

A key element here is the defender's considered decision made long before an incident that if one is confronted with this situation, he or she will counterattack with ferocity and tenacity and prevail. This shortens the OODA cycle to the point where effective action in the tiny time windows such opportunities present can be acted upon before the window closes.
by Excaliber
Fri Dec 17, 2010 2:54 pm
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

RPB wrote:Oh I totally understand under TEXAS law it would be justifiable/justified looking back at the threat.

What I was curious about, but didn't research, was legality, of the security guard carrying under the applicable Florida laws, prior to any gunman producing a gun.

-------------
My frame of thought is

Contrast/comparison to a theoretical incident where a CHL, God forbid, forgetfully carries his weapon into a Court/School/sporting event and remembers he is armed while terrorists are attacking and he's "justified" in stopping the attack; but was illegally carrying.

Not that I'd carry anywhere illegally, but was just pensive about that compared to the FLA situation.

Guess I could research if FLA had "necessity" but that's still only showing that it's justified, and I was curious as to whether he was legally carrying prior to any reasonable belief being formed ... however, sorta a moot point, as now the story is "he requested vacation, but agreed to work, at the request of the school district" so thankfully, he's "officially legal" (on duty as Security) whether he was or not prior to a 24 hour rest and speaking to the lawyer and school district
:clapping:
All's well that ends well - and another good reminder of the wisdom of getting that 24 hour rest and legal counsel before making statements.
by Excaliber
Thu Dec 16, 2010 9:59 am
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

longtooth wrote:I cant believe not a man in the place took advantage of the opportunity she gave them.
That's because the only man in the place was the woman with the purse.
by Excaliber
Thu Dec 16, 2010 9:56 am
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

RPB wrote:A few agree, but those are comments from people who believe that no one at all distilled nor drank moonshine during prohibition .... because there was a law against it.

And people who believe that they are safer in Mexico where guns are illegal, than in Switzerland where the military sells excess weaponry to civilians.

I envision those comments coming from young ladies in their "little house on the prairie" dresses, sitting with their 5 children, after hand washing the dishes after Supper, waiting for husband Clem to return from fetching firewood for the night.
Self reliant folks tend to be pretty well grounded because reality is a thorough teacher. Those comments are much more likely to have come from a suburban housewife who voted for Obama and typed the comments on her iPhone while her 5 year old played unsupervised in the street.
by Excaliber
Wed Dec 15, 2010 8:42 pm
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

chuckybrown wrote:here's the take of the libs......

http://blogs" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;.babble.com/strollerderby/2010/12/15/florida-shooting/
The name of the site where the article appears says all that needs saying about the contents.
by Excaliber
Wed Dec 15, 2010 1:27 pm
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

powerboatr wrote:
longtooth wrote:
Keith B wrote:
longtooth wrote:I cant believe not a man in the place took advantage of the opportunity she gave them.
The problem on these types of situations is shock. Most people are just dumbfounded and are like sitting ducks not thinking or realizing what is about to come next. :banghead:

That is where a little tactical and self defense training and thinking on your feet (or in this case butt) comes into play. :thumbs2:

Very correct. They did nothing because that is what they had traind themselves to do. Nothing
I tell my students when the adrenaline dumps you will not "rise to the occasion." You will immediately be reduced to you your every day level of constant training. If you have trained yourself to do nothing that is exactly what you will do. Nothing.

I agree with the do nothing and assess the situation. Sunday i was in situation that pitted 50 plus men against an outsider that was clearly off his meds. he was unarmed....however no one knew that at the time. some jumped up immediately to verbally confront the outsider....to no avail.
while some of us clearly let our training stand in for the flight or fight response. we uncollectivley took account of the situation and then without knowing what each other would do, we acted collectively to oust this person from our midst, with no harm from him or to our selves

what i find amazing in the panama city shooting was the rounds that were put into the man with gun, seemed to now do any immediate damage
9mm hollow points i would think would have taken him off his legs,
since it showed two leg shots i think. do we know what type of weapon the guards had that shot him?
oh one more tidbit the man with gun, didnt have trigger control, he let off a round from nervy fingers after he shot at the guy behind the table
What you saw in the video is a very typical response to a gunshot wound that doesn't shatter a skeletal support structure or strike the central nervous system.

Real life isn't like the movies, and there are no magic bullets. The initial round to the leg was reportedly a .40 caliber, and the school security director who fired it is an ex-LEO, so you can bet it was a hollow point. A 9mm hollow point in the same spot would virtually certainly have produced an identical result.

This reality is the reason why police officers are trained to fire until the threat is no longer a threat, whatever that may take - and sometimes it takes quite a lot, especially with a big guy like the suspect in this case.

This case is another reminder of why I won't let myself buy one of those cute, light, easy to carry .380's. If I had one, I'd get lazy and carry it instead of one of those other big heavy guns. If I carried it and had to use it, barring an extraordinarily lucky shot, the wounds it could inflict would be unlikely to slow down someone who was trying to kill me until well after it wouldn't matter to me anymore.

Without that temptation, I just dress around my .45's, and don't harbor any illusions about those bullets carrying any magic either.
by Excaliber
Wed Dec 15, 2010 1:12 pm
Forum: The Crime Blotter
Topic: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting
Replies: 82
Views: 8745

Re: Gunman dead after opening fire at Florida school meeting

After watching the videos several times, I believe the shooter here started the incident with the intent of committing suicide by cop. It clearly wasn't a typical active shooter incident where the offender tries to rack up the highest possible body count in the time he has before someone stops him. He didn't even shoot the woman who tried to knock the gun out of his hand, and he allowed her to escape.

He may have tried to shoot the superintendent and simply missed, (his gun handling skills were pretty sloppy) but it looks like his other shots were wild and not aimed at particular people, suggesting that his intent was to invite a deadly force response against himself. When he realized that the shot that felled him wasn't deadly, he took his own life rather than surrender.

This looks like another sad case of someone with serious mental problems dealing with his inner demons by setting up his own death.

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