The "I never thought anything like that could happen here" phrase was something i heard at every major crime scene in nice areas.03Lightningrocks wrote: ↑Thu Nov 17, 2022 11:07 pmAgreed. Since 1996, when I moved here. Aside from the fellow being murdered in his garage, we had one incident of a car load of thugs breaking into several cars for stereo's. Other than that...nothing. Not bad odds at all.Scott in Houston wrote: ↑Thu Nov 17, 2022 11:00 pm Yep... bad things happen everywhere. It's always in every story where they interview a neighbor who says, "we never have anything like that happen around here..."
It's still extremely low odds like almost zero. But never hurts to be prepared.
That being said, I would bet some money that your neighbor's situation involves more to the story. Those kind of things seem to almost always have a back-story like drug deal or money owed to bad folks... random murder crimes between strangers in a nice area... that almost never happens statistically. That's why I was comparing it to the odds of a fire.
Where in Houston do you live? My son and his wife just moved into a nice home in Sugar Land. Got in at a 3% interest rate. Just in time. They paid over 600K for a 3000 square foot house with a pool and maybe a quarter acre lot. Very nice area. Funny thing is, I bet 80% of his hood is Asian. Not to sound racist but Asians tend to be peaceful, clean people. It seems very quiet there.
Folks don't understand there's a major difference between statistical risk and actual experience. In an area with one major crime for every 1000 homes the risk of being victimized that way is one tenth of one percent - pretty good odds, and wonderful for 999 of those people. However, the experience of that crime for the remaining 1 is 100% and a really bad day. No one is ever one tenth of a percent victimized - it's either zero or 100%.