I have to admit that I haven't been following this thread and I now regret it. I'm shocked at some of the personal attacks against members who say they are voting for Hillary. That's a direct violation of our rules. We are not an echo chamber as are some forums.
Stop now.
Chas.
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Return to “Trump or Clinton--our own poll”
- Wed Oct 26, 2016 12:55 pm
- Forum: Federal
- Topic: Trump or Clinton--our own poll
- Replies: 221
- Views: 58896
- Tue Oct 18, 2016 8:04 am
- Forum: Federal
- Topic: Trump or Clinton--our own poll
- Replies: 221
- Views: 58896
Re: Trump or Clinton--our own poll
And I vividly recall the Friday before the 1980 election when the media and their polls said the election would be a "real horse race." Carter was crushed in a defeat second only to Goldwater in 1964.v7a wrote:Oversampling a particular demographic would indeed affect a poll's predictive value. Of course, you neglected to provide any credible evidence that the majority of polls are oversampling. I'm so old that I remember people clinging to the same delusional belief in 2012. Romney himself on election night still believed he was going to win because he clung to the "unskewed" polls. And speaking of Romney, he won Texas by +16. Trump is currently polling at +4 in Texas.Bitter Clinger wrote:polls that sample predominately hard core Democrats could possibly exhibit some inherent bias, but that would never occur to our friend
In any case, let's reconvene on November 9th to assess how (in)accurate the polls turned out to be.
Chas.