Search found 2 matches

by Flightmare
Tue Apr 21, 2020 11:02 pm
Forum: Off-Topic
Topic: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?
Replies: 33
Views: 9901

Re: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?

My personal opinion is that shutting down private businesses was a mistake. Certain businesses are able to function, while following CDC guidelines. Why can't other businesses do the same?
by Flightmare
Tue Apr 21, 2020 10:22 pm
Forum: Off-Topic
Topic: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?
Replies: 33
Views: 9901

Re: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?

That would give you a good number of the OVERALL mortality rate. Everyone will die at some point, so it's good data to measure that statistic. However, not everyone will contract COVID-19. If you scroll down the CDC page in the link you provided, you will see the formula for "Method for calculating death-to-case ratio". Using that formula, (Number of deaths attributed to a particular disease during specified period divided by Number of new cases of the disease identified during the specified period)
we see the following;

41,758 / 776,093 = Approximately 5.4% Nationwide as of the time I posted this, according to https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nc ... in-us.html

Now, the numbers from the northeast do skew the numbers fairly heavily compared to Texas and other states. When you plug in the numbers for Texas, you get;
517 / 20196 or just over 2.5% https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/ops ... b9cafc8b83

I welcome any corrections to my calculations. I am by no means a mathematician, statistician, nor an infectious disease expert.

Return to “What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?”