Return to “Trump or Clinton--our own poll”
Yes, clinton is winning! No need for her supports to vote. Last poll by abc had her up by 2 points. Poll consisted of 39%D-30%R-29%Independent . Typical poll. They are all slanted.... whatever, if you think minority's will take off work to vote for an old white lady then your crazy!!nightmare69 wrote:Trump is behind and has some ground to make up. He has to win all the swing states plus some to get to 270. Clinton just has to hold her ground. I hope there is a much different turnout Tuesday.
Evedence of the sampling being off is in the details of the poll! Plain data right there! Also Romney supportes were not afraid of being labeled a racist or sexist! Your telling me that in a given week 10% of people flip flop from trump to clinton and back to trump? Naaaa.....v7a wrote:Oversampling a particular demographic would indeed affect a poll's predictive value. Of course, you neglected to provide any credible evidence that the majority of polls are oversampling. I'm so old that I remember people clinging to the same delusional belief in 2012. Romney himself on election night still believed he was going to win because he clung to the "unskewed" polls. And speaking of Romney, he won Texas by +16. Trump is currently polling at +4 in Texas.Bitter Clinger wrote:polls that sample predominately hard core Democrats could possibly exhibit some inherent bias, but that would never occur to our friend
In any case, let's reconvene on November 9th to assess how (in)accurate the polls turned out to be.
