1. I do think that all of the illegal sales end up in Mexico. It would be naive to say that there aren’t illegal sales all the time, and it would also be naive to say that they don’t end up in the hands of cartels among other organized crime.srothstein wrote: ↑Sun Oct 20, 2019 1:53 pmWhile I hate that program and see it was a mistake, I must point out that it is not the source of a significant number of weapons to the cartels. I urge people to stop repeating this claim. Think about this: If fast and furious was a significant source of firearms, then it means the claims made to justify the program are true and illegal sales in the US are a significant source also. This argues that there really is a problem with our gun sales in the US and it justifies other restrictions to help stop guns from going to criminals.
There are illegal arms dealers around the world that sell guns by the truck or train car load. Considering how may of the firearms seen in use by the cartels are fully automatic and never were registered in our NFA registry, I have a hard time believing that any sales in the US are a significant contribution to the arming of the criminals in Mexico. And I don't care how many times the media claims that the flow of guns south is a big part of the problem, until I see better evidence of it, I will not agree it is true.
2. A fully automatic does not have to be registered in the NFA by default. It has to be registered via nfa by law. If I drill an extra hole in all of my lowers to allow an auto sear, they aren’t automatically registered by the nfa. Obviously mounted .50 cal browning machine guns and AT4 rocket launchers didn’t come (at least directly) from the U.S.
If you can’t buy any of these guns in Mexico, and we are the closest country where many of these weapons ARE for sale to the general public, it’s only reasonable to believe that a number of them had to come from here; especially american made weapons. Once again, I don’t believe it is a huge problem, but I think that you have to agree that it is a problem. Is it a problem cured by any sort of gun control laws? Absolutely not.
Eta: In the end it’s all a matter of speculation, and there is really no way to know the truth.