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Return to “What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?”
- Tue Apr 21, 2020 10:56 pm
- Forum: Off-Topic
- Topic: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?
- Replies: 33
- Views: 9911
Re: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?
Until you can count all of the new / total cases, this number is completely flawed. It's all just guesses right now based on our limited data. We won't know the true cases, infection rates, or death rate until we scale up the antibody test.
- Tue Apr 21, 2020 7:38 pm
- Forum: Off-Topic
- Topic: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?
- Replies: 33
- Views: 9911
Re: What if the lockdown was all a big mistake?
The infection rate is much higher than our official positive tests. Possibly 85 times higher.
https://www.wired.com/story/new-covid-1 ... hey-right/
https://www.wired.com/story/new-covid-1 ... hey-right/
. First, the results: The Stanford researchers calculated that between 2.5 percent and 4.2 percent of the county’s residents were infected as of early April. That sounds like a reasonably small number, but if true, it would mean Covid-19 is drastically more widespread than local swab testing suggests: 50- to 85-fold
So the death rate is somewhere from slightly higher then the flu to double the flu. Worth giving up a lot of liberties over?. Assuming a higher infection rate consequently lowers the disease’s estimated fatality rate, driving it from around 1 percent to just 0.12 to 0.2 percent. For the record, the death rate from the flu is about 0.1 percent.