I obviously don't know the exact numbers, but I still feel my "suspicion" of 200+ is a reasonable estimate. I base that on the number of people I know personally that carry each Sunday, compared to the total congregation. I gave one specific example - my Sunday School class of about 18-20 in which 9 of us have a license (50%), and 6 carry every Sunday (30%); more on some Sundays. I know of many, many others in the church that carry, and I only know a very small percentage of the entire congregation.jmra wrote:If your normal attendance is 6500 and you have 200+ carrying, you are way above statistical probabilities.mloamiller wrote:My church posted 30.07 signs, but no 30.06. To my knowledge, nothing has been said or announced, just quietly implemented.
CC is very prevalent in our congregation. Normal Sunday attendance is around 6500+, and I suspect we have 200+ carrying each Sunday, not counting the off-duty LEOs. I know for a fact that out of our 20 member Sunday School class, almost half have their LTC and most carry every Sunday (many of the wives don't always carry at church as they are often working with kids at some point).
I'd be willing to bet your estimate is way off. I'll explain: LTC makes up 3% of the population (3% of 6500 is 195). Obviously demographics can skew this number some but not by much. It's safe to say that at least half of LTC holders rarely if ever carry. Statistics would suggest that at most there would be under 100. Given the number of times that people on this forum have been corrected regarding the incorrect belief that church carry is illegal and the number of LTC I've encountered that simply can't understand why someone would need to carry at church, I'd be willing to bet the number is substantially lower than 100.
I believed for a number of years that carry in our was significantly higher than it actually is until multiple conversations with people that I knew were licensed revealed that they either didn't carry at all or didn't carry at church. Of course YMMV.
Mathematical science? Nope; that's why I only "suspect" it. Could I be wrong? Sure.