Funny thing you should mention that. I just read an article that mentioned one of the interesting groups not listening to the media - bookmakers. So far, the gamblers are declining to pay off on any bets on the presidential election claiming it is not finished yet.
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- Fri Nov 13, 2020 3:46 pm
- Forum: Off-Topic
- Topic: post-election reflection
- Replies: 45
- Views: 9898
Re: post-election reflection
- Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:47 am
- Forum: Off-Topic
- Topic: post-election reflection
- Replies: 45
- Views: 9898
Re: post-election reflection
I agree that most will not resist. After all, most gun owners in the US don't really care for the hobby. They got a gun for protection because they were scared or they inherited it and had no idea what to do with it or similar reasons. I take heart from the knowledge that it only takes between 10 and 25% of the people to fight a rebellion. I think we will get that many when it becomes necessary. My problem is how many will agree with me when I decide it is necessary. We each have our own lines that will decide us and mine may not agree with many people's.03Lightningrocks wrote: ↑Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:40 amThe real question is, "How many gun owners will actually resist?". I bet not even half. They will fold like the Sunday newspaper. Many will try to hide their guns, hoping they don't get caught with them. But I bet even more will simply give in. The only way to stop gun confiscation is armed resistance which most folks don't have the stomach for. Just my humble opinion based on how easy it was for them to implement the first temporary assault weapons ban.
- Tue Nov 10, 2020 1:42 pm
- Forum: Off-Topic
- Topic: post-election reflection
- Replies: 45
- Views: 9898
Re: post-election reflection
I think Trump made three strategic errors that cost him the election. One is long term and two that occurred during the campaign. I don't think it was sabotage because that implies intent and I do believe it was just mistakes.
The first mistake was his behavior for the past three years. His constant tweeting and putting down people alienated a lot of the population. I understand why he did it (he is basically a New Yorker and this is how they act), historically it has worked for him. If you get the other guy mad, he makes mistakes. This did work for Trump as President and help him in political battles too, but it alienated a lot of people and the media used it to attack him. The overall results of the election (Republicans only lost one seat in the Senate and gained seats in the house) show that a lot of the people who voted against Trump for personal reasons. I will admit that I do not like Trump as a person, but I have always tried to separate people's personal behavior from their work behavior.
The second mistake was his behavior during the first debate. Again, it worked but it alienated a lot of the public. I think this was a strategic mistake also because if he had let Biden speak without interruption, I can almost guarantee Biden would have said something very stupid that could be used against him.
And the final mistake was holding onto the Hunter Biden material too long. This might not be a mistake as I don't know when they really got it and I could see trying to not use it. But if this had been released before early voting started for anyone, I think it would have made more of an impact.
I do not have a very good history as a political analyst, so I could be wrong. But those are the mistakes I see that made the biggest difference in the election. And if we are lucky, even that won't be enough to make him lose. But I am not putting a lot of faith in the recounts.
The first mistake was his behavior for the past three years. His constant tweeting and putting down people alienated a lot of the population. I understand why he did it (he is basically a New Yorker and this is how they act), historically it has worked for him. If you get the other guy mad, he makes mistakes. This did work for Trump as President and help him in political battles too, but it alienated a lot of people and the media used it to attack him. The overall results of the election (Republicans only lost one seat in the Senate and gained seats in the house) show that a lot of the people who voted against Trump for personal reasons. I will admit that I do not like Trump as a person, but I have always tried to separate people's personal behavior from their work behavior.
The second mistake was his behavior during the first debate. Again, it worked but it alienated a lot of the public. I think this was a strategic mistake also because if he had let Biden speak without interruption, I can almost guarantee Biden would have said something very stupid that could be used against him.
And the final mistake was holding onto the Hunter Biden material too long. This might not be a mistake as I don't know when they really got it and I could see trying to not use it. But if this had been released before early voting started for anyone, I think it would have made more of an impact.
I do not have a very good history as a political analyst, so I could be wrong. But those are the mistakes I see that made the biggest difference in the election. And if we are lucky, even that won't be enough to make him lose. But I am not putting a lot of faith in the recounts.