I am actually encouraged by Bernie's success so far. I think most of his support is coming from two groups. One is the very young and idealistic, and that doesn't bother me because they do not show up at the polls. They are also following Churchill's maxim of liberal at 20 and conservative at 40. I honestly think that a good portion of his support is not coming from people who believe in him, but from the anti-Hilary groups. Hilary brings out the haters and they have no where else to go as Democrats right now. I think once Hilary is done, they also will not show up at the polls.
And I do not have any faith in Trump either. My personal opinion is that he is not running to win, but just to be a spoiler and help Hilary win. He and the Clinton's are old friends. He has always supported Democratic candidates. He is trying to split the Republicans and ridicule them by taking conservative positions to the most extreme and making them sound ridiculous to moderates and non-conservatives. And, in my best opinion of him, he does nothing without an eye on the profit for himself. There is no profit in being president (at his income level) but there is a lot of profit to be made in having a president who owes you a big favor. I think he will drop out (or do something to throw the race) as soon as Hilary either loses and bows out or clinches the nomination.
In general, I predict a Republican president next, but they could still lose if they try hard. It will take some maneuvering to recover from Trump, but I think it could be done. I think Bush is effectively out of the race, which makes Rubio the most likely candidate to win, IMO.
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- by srothstein
- Wed Jan 27, 2016 12:27 am
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