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The Annoyed Man wrote:
On our last trip to Cali, we were on an elevator in a Target store in Pasadena. There was one other woman on the elevator with us. My son started tugging at his belt, looked at me, and said "it just doesn't feel right". Of course, the unspoken "not having a gun there" was implicit and understood. The other lady smiled, and said "yeah, it feels weird, doesn't it?" Turns out she is from San Bernardino county and has her carry permit! We had a pleasant conversation about the state of affairs in The People's' Republic of Crapulence.

She could carry there, not openly of course.

The odds of encountering a person with a permit in CA are very small, about 1 in 800. I doubt there is anything like normal distribution.

As I understand it, all of the attendees of the function where the shootings occurred were government employees or family of such. They are probably the least likely to seek permits and arm themselves.

Permits are issued, or not, by county sheriffs. Chiefs of police can do so, but virtually all have ceded that function the their Sheriff. Once issued, the permits are good state-wide. Your permit is obtained only from your county of residence.

San Bernardino is one of the easier urban counties to obtain permits. LA and SF are impossible, unless you marry the Sheriff's sister or something, the others go from there, while out in the cow counties east, in the mountains, permits are virtually "shall issue."

It's up to the Sheriff. Orange County was relatively easy until the Sheriff was convicted of some misconduct, not involving CCW permits. His replacement, hired by the Board of Supervisors (think commissioners court) hired a woman police executive from LA who promptly cancelled all those permits.