paxton25 wrote:I simply want the best bill passed in the next session and I personally believe it is constitutional carry, right now the best bill I see is HB195. I am sincerely interested in seeing if TSRA or NRA or Mr. Cotton have an alternate bill in the works that I can support if there are good reasons not to support hb195 other than some say it can't pass. I have been told by politicians and the political elites several times that what I am pushing for won't happen only to see it happen after not giving in. I don't really see why this should be contentious and cause conflict among 2A supporters.
Paxton25, since you appear to be asking this question in good faith, there are two factors at work here: how a bill affects PC §30.06, and how much political capital will have to be expended in order to pass it.
Here is why
anything that messes with PC §30.06 is a bad bill that will not get NRA/TSRA support, and will most likely killed: If it incorporates Open Carry (OC, going forward) into PC §30.06, there is a very good reason for why that must not be allowed to happen. Today, when a CHL walks into an unposted store, so long as he/she behaves themselves, the store owner is not motivated to post a 30.06 sign. Why
would he be? Even if he is really ANTI-2nd Amendment, he has no way of knowing if the person entering his store is a CHL or not. Very FEW business owners are self-motivated enough to either do the research, or to hire an attorney to do it for them, to find a way to keep CC out of their stores. It just isn't on their radar, because "out of sight = out of mind". For them, it does not take some kind of pivotal event involving an exposed gun to make then exercise anti-gun activism in their places of business. However, OC is not that way. Whether it is intended as a provocation or not, the OCer has absolutely ZERO control over whether the gun is
perceived as a provocative act. The fence-sitter who hadn't give it much though until now, or the rabidly antigun person who simply hadn't considered the possibility until now, will with a high probability post a sign to keep OCers out of the store. Mind you, they STILL won't know they are affecting CCers because CCers fly low and avoid the radar. When they post that sign, if OC is incorporated under 30.06, then BOTH OCers AND CCers are now banned from carrying into the store. This is a step backward for the CCer,
caused by the OCer's provocation of the store owner.......and remember, this is provocation whether or not it is intentional. It
still provokes a reaction from the business owner.
SO..... exactly ZERO bills that incorporate OC under 30.06 will receive NRA/TSRA support, and in fact will probably be killed—because a
setback for CC is completely unacceptable as the price of passing OC. And this is the absolutely
CRUCIAL point that OCT refuses to take into account in their calculations.......either that, or they are deliberately trying to sabotage CC. Since they refuse to consider it, they are vastly out of touch with reality.
If you refer to this thread -
viewtopic.php?f=133&t=75052" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; - you will see that there are more than one OC bill under consideration. Here are the one's I've lifted from Charles' opening post in that thread:
Charles L. Cotton wrote:Color-coded and linked bills are available on the
2015 Bill Status Report on the Texas Firearms Coalition website. UPDATED: 11/14/14
HOUSE BILLS:
HB92 (White) Relating to the definition of an illegal knife.
Impact: Removes Bowie knife from definition of illegal knives and from a defense for historical reinactments. Still illegal to carry knives with blades over 5 1/2".
Postion on Bill: Neutral. This bill does not help Texans.
Status: Filed 11/10/14
HB106 (Flynn, R, A+) Relating to the authority of a person who is licensed to carry a handgun to openly carry the handgun; providing penalties.
Impact: Creates licensed open-carry, but destroys the protections of Tex. Penal Code §30.06.
Position on Bill: Oppose, becaue of the amendment to Tex. Penal Code §30.06.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB118 (Flynn, R, A+) Relating to a fee waiver for a combination resident hunting and fishing license for certain military personnel.
Impact: Removes the fee for a combined hunting and fishing license for disabled veterans and active military.
Position on Bill: Neutral.
Status: Filed 11/10/14
HB164 (White) Relating to the authority of a person who is licensed to carry a handgun to openly carry the handgun; providing penalties.
Impact: Creates licensed open-carry and preserves the protection of Tex. Penal Code §30.06
Position on Bill: Support.
Status: Filed 11/10/14
HB152 (Harless, R, A) Relating to the authority of the voters of certain counties to authorize the county to regulate the sale and use of fireworks; providing penalties.
Impact: Deals with county regulation of fireworks.
Position on Bill: Neutral, but monitor to ensure firearms and sport shooting ranges are not added to the bill.
Status: Filed 11/10/14
HB153 (Harless, R, A) Relating to the adoption of noise regulations by certain counties; providing a criminal penalty; authorizing a fee.
Impact: Deals with county regulation of noise generated by loud speakers.
Position on Bill: Neutral, but monitor to ensure firearms and sport shooting ranges are not added to the bill.
Status: Filed 11/10/14
HB172 (Stickland) Relating to municipal regulation of electric stun guns, knives, and personal defense sprays.
Impact: Adds stun guns, knives and personal defense sprays to the Texas preemption statute preventing municipal regulation thereof. However, it adds an unnecessary provision that guts much of the Texas Sport Shooting Range Protection law passed in 2011.
Position on Bill: Oppose this bad bill, unless the proposed Tex. Local Gov't Code §229.(b)(10) is removed.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB176 (Kleinschmidt, R, A+) Relating to protection of the right to keep and bear arms within the State of Texas.
Impact: Attempts to invalidate certain federal gun laws. Also prohibits state law enforcement officer from enforcing certain federal laws.
Position on Bill: Support.
Status: Filed 11/10/15.
HB195 (Stickland, R) Relating to the carrying of handguns; providing for the open carrying of handguns; removing the requirement that a person who may lawfully possess handguns obtain a Concealed Handgun License in order to carry a handgun lawfully in the state of Texas, and conforming changes.
Impact: Created unlicensed open or concealed carry; retains all current off-limits areas.
Position on Bill: Support.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB198 (Huberty) Relating to the carrying of concealed handguns by certain persons attending a school board meeting.
Impact: Would allow school board members and school superintendents to carry handguns at school board meetings.
Position on Bill: Oppose.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB206 (Leach) Relating to an exemption from the sales tax for firearms and hunting supplies for a limited period.
Impact: Creats a sales tax free day for purchasing firearms and hunting supplies.
Position on Bill: Neutral.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB223 (Guillen, D) Relating to acceptable conduct of students in kindergarten through grade five.
Impact: Protects school children from K - 5th grades from being disciplined for certain acts related to firearm representations.
Position on Bill: Support.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB226 (Guillen, D) Relating to certain offenses relating to carrying concealed handguns on property owned or leased by a governmental entity; providing a civil penalty.
Impact: Creats a civil penalty for local governments and agencies that post unenforceable 30.06 signs.
Position on Bill: Support, but demand amendment to allow for private causes of action.
Status: Filed 11/10/14.
HB278 (Ashby) Relating to authorizing certain attorneys representing the state to openly carry a handgun.
Impact: Would allow government attorneys to carry handgun openly.
Position on Bill: Oppose.
Status: Filed 11/12/14
HB284 (Springer, R, A+)
Impact: Sets the minimum caliber for CHL qualification to .22.
Companion Bill: SB179 by Perry.
Position on Bill: Support.
Status: Filed 11/13/14.
HB291 (Huberty) Relating to the authority of a person who is licensed to carry a handgun to openly carry the handgun; providing penalties.
Impact: Creates licensed open-carry, but destroys the protections of Tex. Penal Code §30.06. (Appears identical to HB106.)
Position on Bill: Oppose, becaue of the amendment to Tex. Penal Code §30.06.
Status: 11/14/14.
Senate Bills:[/size][/b]
SB124 (West, D) Relating to certain criminal offenses concerning the unlawful transfer or purchase of certain weapons.
Impact: Expands the scope of Tex. Penal Code §46.06 to certain purchases of firearms making it unlawful to purchase with intent to transfer under certain vague and ambiguous circumstances. This is a class Sen. Royce West anti-gun, anti-gun owner bill. It is intentionally vague so as to be a trap for unsuspecting persons.
Position on Bill: Oppose.
Status: 11/10/14
SB179 (Perry) Relating to the handgun proficiency required to obtain or renew a concealed handgun license.
Companion Bill: HB284 by Rep. Springer
Impact: Sets the minimum caliber for CHL qualification to .22.
Position on Bill: Support.
Status: Filed 11/12/14.
As you can see from this list, there are FOUR Open Carry bills under consideration.
- HB106 creates licensed OC and amends 30.06 to include OC. That last bit makes it a non-starter.
- HB164 creates licensed OC and leaves 30.06 alone.
- HB195 creates Constitutional Carry and leaves 30.06 alone.
- HM291 creates licensed OC and amends 30.06 to include OC. That last bit makes it a non-starter.
So as you can see, of the four bills, 1 & 4 are non-starters because of amending 30.06. 2 creates Constitutional Carry and protects 30.06. 3 creates licensed carry and protects 30.06. And, further, both 2 & 3 have TSRA/NRA support.
So the
next consideration is, "how much political capital will either of these two bills cost? That question is almost irrelevant if HB164 and HB195 are the only two gun-legislation bills currently under consideration. But, they are NOT. As you can see from Charles' quote I included above, there are currently SIXTEEN bills before the House and TWO before the Senate......
and these are just the ones we know about NOW. Each one of those spends some of that political capital.......and please note that Campus Carry, another very important bill, isn't even on that list yet.
Currently, it seems that HB164 probably has a very good chance of passing - creating licensed OC with protection for 30.06. And given the excellent record of CHLers in terms of criminal statistics, there probably ins't going to be that much opposition in the House, at least among the republican majority. Since HB164 wouldn't affect democrat Joe Pickett's income stream from CHL instruction, he might even get some democrats on board.
HB195 is a good bill, but it is a much tougher sell. The question is then, is it important enough to try to push it through in
this session, if the price is NOT passing any of the other bills? And then, even if that question is answered in the affirmative and supporters try to ram HB195 through, what happens if they fail? They
could fail, you know. It's not unheard of. In that case not only did HB195 fail, but so did a dozen other good bills......bills which
might have passed if we had taken the less ambitious route and passed HB164 instead.
And even though it seems too long to wait, what if passing HB164
now makes it a slam-dunk to pass HB195 in 6 years from now?
I would dearly like to see HB195 pass, but NOT if it means that we get nothing at all. HB195 or nothing is a losing game. I'd take HB164 happily and look forward to Constitutional Carry in the future.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”
― G. Michael Hopf, "Those Who Remain"
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